Three Month Outlook (OCT-NOV-DEC 2023)


Over the course of the next three months, from October to December, our region can anticipate a series of intriguing weather patterns. In October, temperatures are forecasted to be slightly higher than the usual norms, with a 33% chance of exceeding the average October temperatures. Precipitation is also expected to be slightly above average, potentially leading to a wetter month.

As we move into November, the outlook shifts towards a more balanced scenario. Temperature forecasts indicate equal chances of experiencing temperatures in line with historical averages. Similarly, precipitation holds a 50% chance of aligning with typical November patterns, meaning we could witness the expected November showers or enjoy a drier spell.

Finally, December brings the spirit of winter and the holiday season. Temperature predictions remain evenly poised, offering an equal chance of staying close to historical December averages. Precipitation, on the other hand, leans towards above-average chances, suggesting we may see more rainfall or snowfall than usual.

These three months collectively offer a dynamic mix of weather possibilities, ranging from slightly warmer and wetter conditions in October to balanced and transitional weather in November, and the potential for a bit more precipitation in December. As we navigate these changing weather patterns, it’s an opportunity to embrace the uniqueness of each month and the delightful surprises they bring to our climate.

October

As we step into the enchanting month of October, a subtle but intriguing shift in our weather patterns is on the horizon. It’s the time when nature’s brush strokes transform the landscape with the warm hues of autumn, and in the realm of meteorology, we’re in for a noteworthy deviation from our typical October conditions.

First and foremost, let’s talk temperatures. The forecast indicates that we’re in for a bit of a twist in the mercury readings. Instead of the familiar jacket weather, we’re anticipating slightly higher temperatures than what we’re accustomed to seeing during this time of year. In fact, there’s a tantalizing 33% chance that these temperatures will soar above our average October benchmarks, promising some unexpected warmth as we embrace the fall season. This departure from the norm could add a touch of unpredictability to our October adventures, so be prepared for a mix of crisp mornings and pleasantly mild afternoons.

But wait, there’s more! While we’re talking about deviations from the norm, let’s delve into precipitation. Our typical 30-day October rainfall average usually hovers around a modest 0.40 inches, just enough to keep things green and provide a soothing rhythm to the season. However, this October may have other plans in store for us. Brace yourselves, for we might just receive more than our customary allotment of rainfall. Picture those cozy days spent indoors, the pitter-patter of raindrops serenading you from outside, and the earth soaking up every precious drop to quench its thirst. It’s a poetic deviation from the norm that Mother Nature herself has written into our October script.

So, as we venture forth into this captivating October, be ready to embrace the unexpected. Whether it’s the prospect of warmer days or the promise of a slightly wetter canvas, let’s savor the delightful deviations from our usual weather patterns that this month has in store. It’s all part of the ever-changing tapestry of nature that makes each October a unique chapter in the grand story of our climate.

November

As we transition into the serene month of November, anticipation hangs in the air like the last remnants of autumn leaves. This is a month where change is the name of the game, and the meteorological forecast adds an element of intrigue to our journey through this transitional period.

Let’s start by talking about temperatures. November typically ushers in the chill of late autumn, but this year, the stage is set for a more balanced performance. We’re looking at equal chances of experiencing temperatures that align closely with our historical November averages. In other words, while we might still need our cozy layers, we won’t be veering too far from the temperature norms that November typically brings. It’s a comforting thought, knowing that the seasonal wardrobe won’t need any dramatic adjustments.

Now, let’s shift our focus to precipitation. November is often associated with the arrival of rainfall that paints our landscapes in shades of gray and green. However, this year, the weather deities seem to be keeping us on our toes. The odds are evenly poised, with a 50% chance that we’ll see precipitation levels align with our customary November figures. This coin-toss scenario means that we could either experience the usual November showers, keeping our surroundings glistening and fresh, or witness a drier spell that allows us to savor the crisp autumn air without the constant patter of raindrops.

So, as November unfolds its tapestry of changing colors and moods, remember that it’s a month of balance and equilibrium, where the weather might choose to stay in harmony with the historical averages or surprise us with its capriciousness. Regardless of the outcome, it’s all part of the natural rhythm of the season, making each November an intriguing chapter in the story of our ever-evolving climate.

December

December, the month of holiday lights, festive cheer, and the gentle embrace of winter, is fast approaching. As we prepare to bid farewell to another year, let’s take a closer look at what the meteorological cards have in store for us this time around.

First, the temperatures. December typically ushers in the true spirit of winter, with cooler weather becoming the norm. However, this year, there’s a sense of equilibrium in the air. The odds are evenly poised, offering us an equal chance of experiencing temperatures that are consistent with our historical December averages. This means that while winter’s chill will undoubtedly be felt, we won’t be straying too far from the comforting familiarity of the seasonal norms. It’s a reassuring thought as we plan our holiday festivities and outdoor adventures.

Now, let’s turn our gaze to precipitation. December often graces us with the enchantment of snowflakes and the soft patter of rain. This year, it appears that the atmospheric symphony may lean toward a slightly more harmonious performance in the form of precipitation. The odds are in favor, with a leaning towards above-average chances of experiencing more rainfall or snowfall than what we typically receive in December. This delightful twist could transform our surroundings into a winter wonderland, adding an extra touch of enchantment to our holiday celebrations.

So, as we embrace December’s arrival, keep in mind that it’s a month of balance and possibility. Whether the temperatures align closely with our historical averages or veer slightly off course, and whether we find ourselves enveloped in more precipitation than usual, it’s all part of the magic that makes December a uniquely captivating chapter in the story of our ever-changing climate. Embrace the season’s offerings, for they are what make this time of year truly special.

Devin H.
Devin H.

Meteorologist // I like the weather outside.

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